Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.004773 0.005394 0.006101 0.006974 0.008034 0.009293 0.010925
2026-02-01 0.003781 0.004518 0.005427 0.006658 0.008321 0.010554 0.013901
2026-02-08 0.003205 0.003963 0.004948 0.006365 0.008427 0.011455 0.016543
2026-02-15 0.002930 0.003730 0.004817 0.006469 0.009045 0.013172 0.020979
2026-02-22 0.002651 0.003448 0.004567 0.006339 0.009253 0.014270 0.024782
2026-03-01 0.002410 0.003187 0.004309 0.006144 0.009301 0.015079 0.028371
2026-03-08 0.002224 0.002986 0.004110 0.006006 0.009408 0.016009 0.032689
2026-03-15 0.002136 0.002917 0.004102 0.006175 0.010088 0.018267 0.041701
2026-03-22 0.002073 0.002880 0.004137 0.006416 0.010952 0.021222 0.055239
2026-03-29 0.002026 0.002861 0.004196 0.006707 0.011981 0.024991 0.075992
2026-04-05 0.001919 0.002737 0.004067 0.006629 0.012201 0.026768 0.091370
2026-04-12 0.001824 0.002626 0.003952 0.006559 0.012427 0.028668 0.110691
2026-04-19 0.001711 0.002484 0.003780 0.006380 0.012420 0.030081 0.132035
2026-04-26 0.001593 0.002327 0.003571 0.006104 0.012133 0.030535 0.149334
2026-05-03 0.001488 0.002187 0.003380 0.005845 0.011838 0.030874 0.167921
2026-05-10 0.001442 0.002142 0.003359 0.005937 0.012483 0.035021 0.241856
2026-05-17 0.001373 0.002052 0.003247 0.005822 0.012538 0.036937 0.304940
2026-05-24 0.001302 0.001956 0.003117 0.005648 0.012396 0.037984 0.366689
2026-05-31 0.001243 0.001878 0.003014 0.005526 0.012381 0.039649 0.463669
2026-06-07 0.001220 0.001862 0.003029 0.005676 0.013227 0.046217 0.841247
2026-06-14 0.001206 0.001859 0.003069 0.005890 0.014347 0.055629 2.017553
2026-06-21 0.001195 0.001863 0.003123 0.006148 0.015713 0.068738 8.504728
2026-06-28 0.001154 0.001807 0.003051 0.006079 0.015903 0.073989 25.731366